Ukraine’s post-war recovery needs rise to $588bn, including $55bn for agriculture

An updated Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA5), prepared by the Government of Ukraine together with the World Bank, the European Commission and the United Nations, shows a further increase in the scale of destruction and the complexity of the country’s recovery, ProAgro Group reports.

As of December 31, 2025, Ukraine’s total recovery and reconstruction needs are estimated at nearly $588 billion over the next decade, almost three times the country’s projected nominal GDP for 2025.

Since February 2022, direct damage has increased to more than $195 billion, up from $176 billion in the previous RDNA4 assessment. The housing, transport and energy sectors have suffered the most, with the bulk of destruction concentrated in frontline regions and major cities.

In the energy sector, the number of damaged or destroyed facilities has increased by around 21%, while recovery needs in the transport sector rose by 24% due to intensified attacks on railways and ports. Overall, 14% of Ukraine’s housing stock has been damaged or destroyed, affecting more than three million households.

With the support of international partners, the Ukrainian government plans to implement priority recovery programmes worth over $15 billion in 2026, including housing reconstruction, energy system restoration, demining and economic support. At the same time, at least $20 billion has already been allocated since 2022 for urgent repairs and early recovery measures.

The largest long-term recovery needs are in transport ($96 billion), energy ($91 billion), housing ($90 billion), industry and trade ($63 billion) and agriculture ($55 billion), which remains one of the key pillars of Ukraine’s economic recovery.

The report emphasizes that the private sector will play a crucial role in reconstruction, while attracting investment will depend on continued reforms, an improved business climate and Ukraine’s integration into the European Union. Recovery efforts should focus on people, employment and the sustainable development of local communities.

As previously reported, Ukrainian agribusiness holding NIBULON has suffered significant financial and operational losses as a result of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. According to CEO Andriy Vadaturskyi, the company’s total losses already exceed $500 million.

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