The beginning of 2026 may become one of the most challenging periods for Ukrainian farmers in terms of fertilizer supply, as the market is expected to face a deficit across the entire nitrogen group. This forecast was shared by Andrii Khaliavka, director and owner of GROSSDORF — one of Ukraine’s leading mineral fertilizer producers, ProAgro Group reports.
He emphasized that the problem is systemic: the shortage of one product immediately creates pressure on other segments. This applies to UAN, ammonium nitrate, urea, and ammonium sulfate. For example, delays in port operations instantly raise urea prices, which in turn affects ammonium sulfate. When seasonal demand quickly “sweeps” UAN from warehouses, farmers switch to ammonium nitrate. A shortage of nitrate then pushes demand to urea, creating a chain reaction of shortages across the entire nitrogen fertilizer group.
“This is what makes the beginning of 2026 extremely sensitive and unpredictable for the market,” Khaliavka noted.
According to him, the company has already accumulated tens of thousands of tons of key raw materials, which will allow for stable UAN production during peak load periods and ensure customer supply even in the event of market fluctuations.
As previously reported, over the first 10 months of 2025, Ukraine imported 2.8 million tons of fertilizers — 24% more than in the same period last year. Nitrogen fertilizers remain the core of imports, totaling 1.5 million tons, a 32.5% increase year-on-year. This is the largest segment by volume.
Source: UCAB
